AI Shopping Agents & the Future of E-Commerce: What Vibe Commerce Still Needs to Solve

Arkady Gurevich's avatar
Arkady Gurevich

29 May, 2025

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AI Shopping Agents & the Future of E-Commerce: What Vibe Commerce Still Needs to Solve
AI AgentsAI Shopping AgentsE-commerce FutureConversational AIRetail TechnologyVibe ShoppingMarketplace StrategyAI in Retail

AI Shopping Agents & the Future of E-Commerce: What Vibe Commerce Still Needs to Solve

Arkady Gurevich

Arkady Gurevich

I write about the latest trends in AI, Amazon, and e-commerce technology.

Approx 8 min read29 May, 2025

Generative AI in Retail: Toward an Agent-Led Future

From Fortune 500 boardrooms to LinkedIn think-pieces, a growing chorus is sketching the same audacious scenario: conversational AI agents will graduate from product search helpers to full-service "buy for me" proxies, shrinking the entire e-commerce funnel into a single chat.

Harvard Business Review argues these agents are already "reshuffling who captures value" because a customer who types "I need a weekend-hike outfit under $150" into ChatGPT never touches a search engine or storefront—the agent does the leg-work, synthesis, and hand-off to checkout.

Team8 pushes this vision even further in their "Vibe Shopping" thesis, describing a near future where autonomous AI assistants not only recommend items but broker entire purchasing decisions from sneakers to skincare to mortgages.

WIRED reports that Amazon's internal roadmap for Rufus envisions a future where your shopping agent simply "buys you stuff without you even having to ask." TechCrunch details the technical arms race between Google, OpenAI, Anthropic, and commerce-focused startups, all trying to get agents to complete purchases on your behalf.

TechCrunch details the technical arms race between Google, OpenAI, Anthropic, and commerce-focused startups, all trying to get agents to complete purchases on your behalf.

Andreessen Horowitz describes this future as "Shopping in God Mode" where the best espresso machine under $300 appears automatically in your chat filtered by reviews, price, and fit, no tab-hopping or decision fatigue required.

The commercial upside explains the stakes: Amazon's ad revenue alone hit $56.2 billion in 2024, monetizing its control over shopper intent. Meanwhile, eMarketer forecasts $62 billion in U.S. retail-media spend in 2025, a budget every aspiring AI agent wants to tap. McKinsey estimates that generative AI could unlock as much as $390 billion in retail value, but warns that this depends on who controls the shopper interface.

Agent-Led Commerce Challenges: Consumer Trust, Regulation & Returns

The vision of a seamless, autonomous buying journey is compelling but it comes with meaningful challenges. These hurdles are not reasons to dismiss the future of vibe shopping, but rather realities that innovators, marketplaces, and brands will need to navigate as this new paradigm emerges.

1. Consumer trust and behavior are still catching up

While early adopters may embrace AI-assisted shopping (a form of AI in online shopping), most consumers remain cautious about artificial intelligence shopping. Today, only about a third of U.S. shoppers say they would trust an AI assistant—a type of online shopping AI—to complete a purchase independently. Habits are hard to change, and many users still want to browse, compare, and feel ownership over the final decision when considering AI in shopping. The lukewarm commerce adoption of Amazon Alexa, despite widespread usage, underscores the challenges for artificial intelligence in shopping.

2. AI reliability and liability remain key concerns

AI hallucinations might be tolerable in chat, but in commerce, mistakes have a cost. Google’s AI Overviews suggesting people “add glue to pizza” was a reminder of the risks. In e-commerce, a wrong product recommendation can lead to mass returns, brand damage, or even safety issues. For AI to take the driver’s seat in purchasing, it must meet a much higher bar for accuracy, explainability, and context-awareness.

3. Access to real-time data is fragmented and gated

For an agent to act as a truly intelligent shopping assistant, it needs live access to pricing, availability, delivery speeds, and promotional data all of which sit behind gated APIs, proprietary infrastructure, or bot protection layers. Marketplaces like Amazon, Walmart, and Shopify have strong incentives to limit unfettered third-party access. As a result, agents will likely need to collaborate closely with these platforms rather than bypass them.

4. Regulation is advancing quickly and may slow deployment

With the EU AI Act and similar policies on the horizon, autonomous AI agents used in commerce may face tight regulation. They could be classified as "high-risk" triggering requirements around auditability, training-data transparency, and human override—and exposure to major fines for non-compliance. These requirements create friction, especially for smaller players.

5. Returns and margins are a fragile equation

Online return rates already average 17.6%, costing retailers roughly $145M for every $1B in GMV. If AI-driven shopping increases misfires in sizing, taste, or expectations, it could eat into already-thin margins. This is especially true in fashion, beauty, and home decor, categories where nuance and emotional resonance matter.

Vibe shopping is powerful, but not universal

It's important to recognize that the "shopping vibe" or vibe shopping will not affect all categories equally.

In commodity categories like detergent, pet food, or batteries—where the decision is functional, frequent, and low risk—AI agents are well-positioned to automate replenishment and optimize price, making AI for shopping highly effective. Here, the vision of "just handle it for me" is very achievable.

But in lifestyle-driven or expressive categories, fashion, home decor, luxury, purchase decisions reflect identity, taste, and sensory preference. Even the best agents may fall short in these contexts. In such verticals, AI is likely to act as a co-pilot, helping with curation and fit, but still deferring to the human shopper for the final decision.

Why marketplaces will (and must) fight back

If AI agents become the primary consumer interface, marketplaces risk losing control of discovery, loyalty, and monetization. The threat isn't just about user experience, it's structural. Their dominance is built on three pillars:

Retail media revenue Amazon earned over $56B in 2024 by controlling search placement and ad targeting.

Subscription ecosystems Prime and Walmart+ tie customers into loyalty programs through shipping, streaming, and perks.

First-party data fueling everything from personalization to supply chain forecasting.

If agents displace marketplaces at the top of the funnel, all three are at risk.

That's why marketplaces are already building moats, not just against competitors, but against disintermediation by agents.

Logistics as a differentiator

Amazon's same-day and pharmacy fulfillment capabilities are growing rapidly. Walmart now delivers via drone to 75% of Dallas–Fort Worth households. These service levels are difficult for third-party agents to replicate without deep integration.

Retail media becomes the toll booth

Even if agents direct traffic, sellers must still pay Amazon, Walmart, and Target for visibility and attribution through their ad networks. In 2025, these platforms are expected to capture 84% of U.S. retail media spend.

Exclusive inventory & checkout rails

With programs like Buy with Prime and TikTok Shop's creator-only SKUs, marketplaces retain control over inventory that can't be accessed elsewhere or must still use their infrastructure to fulfill.

Owning the agent layer

Amazon is reportedly piloting "Buy for Me" an embedded agent that operates inside its own ecosystem, protecting its role in the stack while adopting the very features that third-party agents threaten it with.

The Future of E-Commerce: A Hybrid World of Agents & Marketplaces

Yes, AI agents will change how we shop, a key aspect of the future of e-commerce industry. Vibe-driven discovery, a significant e-commerce future trend, is already reshaping the top of the funnel. And yes, many shopping tasks will be delegated to digital co-pilots, especially in low-risk, high-frequency contexts. Put simply, the ecommerce of the future will look very different from today.

But marketplaces are not going away. Instead, they're evolving, strengthening their infrastructure, deepening their ecosystems, and embedding agent functionality into their own services.

The most likely outcome? A hybrid world:

  • AI agents dominate in utility-driven, commoditized categories.
  • Human preferences still guide style, luxury, and complex decisions.
  • Marketplaces adapt, from storefronts to platforms to infrastructure rails.

Final thought

The agent-led future—a core component when we describe the future of e-commerce—is not a question of if, but of how fast, and how far. The excitement is real, and the upside for the e-commerce business future is enormous. But for the vision to scale, it must solve for trust, regulation, data access, and behavioral nuance.

The next decade won't be a clean break. It will be a negotiation between agents, platforms, and people over who owns the attention, the interface, and the value.

And that, more than any one piece of tech or the rise of standalone AI shops, will shape the future of ecommerce technology and commerce itself.

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